The Miami Heat (40-33) visit the Washington Wizards (14-60) at Capital One Arena, beginning at 6:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 31, 2024. The Heat are 11.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 213.5.
Aiming to make an informed wager on Sunday’s game? Find out the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Wizards (+11.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Heat by 9.0 points, just 2.5 fewer than the 11.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Washington has a 33-40-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Wizards have an ATS record of 12-5 when playing as at least 11.5-point underdogs this season.
- So far this season, Miami has put together a 35-36-2 record against the spread.
- The Heat have covered the spread once when favored by 11.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
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Total: Over 213.5
- The model projects a total (227.3 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (213.5 points). Take the over.
- Miami and its opponent have broken the 213.5-point mark 44 times this year.
- Washington’s games have finished with over 213.5 points scored 66 times this season.
- Heat games have gone over the point total 27 out of 73 times this season.
- Wizards games have hit the over 36 out of 74 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-675)
- Prediction: Heat 118, Wizards 109
- Miami has entered the game as favorites 40 times this season and won 29, or 72.5%, of those games.
- Washington has come away with 12 wins in the 67 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jimmy Butler Points Prop: Over 19.5
- Jimmy Butler posts 21.1 points, 4.9 assists and 5.3 boards per contest.
- Butler is scoring 21.1 points per game, 1.6 more than Sunday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Butler is 22-for-61 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- The Wizards are 17th in the NBA in points scored (113.4 per game) and worst in points allowed (123.0).
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Kyle Kuzma Points Prop: Under 20.5
- Kyle Kuzma is averaging 22.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 46.3% of his shots from the field and 33.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per game.
- Kuzma’s 22.3 points per game are 1.8 points more than Sunday’s over/under.
- This season Kuzma is 37-for-75 at hitting the over on the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- Although the Heat are scoring just 109.8 points per game (fourth-worst in NBA), their defense has been playing really well, as they rank fourth-best in the league by ceding 108.5 points per game.
Check out the prop bets available for Kyle Kuzma and other Wizards players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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