The Golden State Warriors (39-34) visit the San Antonio Spurs (18-56) at AT&T Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 31, 2024. The Warriors are 10-point favorites in the game, the fourth matchup between the teams this season. The matchup has an over/under of 226.5 points.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, check out the best bets available in Sunday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Spurs (+10) to Cover
- The spread for this game suggested by the model (8.0 points) is a little tighter than the 10-point edge DraftKings gives to the Warriors, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- So far this year, San Antonio has put together a 38-36-0 record against the spread.
- The Spurs have covered the spread 16 times this season (16-10 ATS) when playing as at least 10-point underdogs.
- Golden State has a 39-32-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Warriors have an ATS record of 5-4 when playing as at least 10-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 226.5
- The model predicts a total 6.2 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Golden State’s games have had more than 226.5 points scored on 46 occasions this season.
- San Antonio’s games have had over 226.5 points 46 times this year.
- In the Warriors’ 73 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
- A total of 35 Spurs games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Warriors (-485)
- Prediction: Warriors 120, Spurs 112
- This season, Golden State has won 31 out of the 47 games, or 66%, in which it has been favored.
- San Antonio has won in 13, or 19.4%, of the 67 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Klay Thompson Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Klay Thompson puts up 17.4 points, 3.3 boards and 2.2 assists per contest, shooting 42.6% from the floor and 38.3% from beyond the arc with 3.4 made 3-pointers per game (third in league).
- He averages 0.2 fewer rebounds than his over/under on Sunday (which is 3.5).
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by sportsbooks 26 times this season in 74 games with that prop available.
- In 2023-24, the Spurs are 15th in the league in rebounds (43.6 per game) and fourth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.3).
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Tre Jones Rebounds Prop: Under 3.5
- Tre Jones gets the Spurs 9.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game while averaging 1.0 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.
- He pulls down 3.4 rebounds per game, 0.1 less than his prop bet on Sunday.
- Oddsmakers have set a rebound total for him 51 times this season, and he has hit the over in 23 of those games.
- The Warriors are allowing 43.3 boards per game this year (13th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve shined by grabbing 46.8 rebounds per contest (best).
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