The Dallas Mavericks (44-29) are favorites, by three points, against the Houston Rockets (38-35) on March 31, 2024 at Toyota Center. The contest features two of the hottest squads in the league, as the Mavericks have won six in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the Rockets have won 11 straight, and have gone 10-0 in their past 10. The point total is 229.5 in the matchup.
Before you make an informed wager on the matchup, check out the best bets available for Sunday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Rockets (+3) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Rockets compared to the DraftKings line, a 5.1 point difference, and has them favored to win Sunday’s game outright. Put your money on the Rockets.
- So far this year, Houston has compiled a 41-30-2 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 3-point underdogs this year, the Rockets have an ATS record of 17-19-1.
- Dallas’ ATS record is 42-31-0 this season.
- When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 22-14.
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Total: Over 229.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 1.3 points lower than the model projection.
- Dallas’ games have had more than 229.5 points scored on 44 occasions this year.
- Houston’s games have gone over 229.5 points on 33 occasions this season.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to hit the over 33 out of 73 times this season.
- A total of 34 Rockets games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (+130)
- Prediction: Rockets 116, Mavericks 114
- This season, Dallas has won 32 out of the 43 games, or 74.4%, in which it has been favored.
- Houston has been victorious in 15, or 33.3%, of the 45 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Fred VanVleet Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Fred VanVleet is putting up 16.8 points, 3.7 rebounds and 8.1 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 41.2% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from beyond the arc, with 3.0 triples per contest.
- He has pulled down 3.7 boards per game, 0.2 more than his over/under for Sunday’s game.
- This will be his 70th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over on 31 occasions.
- The Mavericks are 21st in the NBA with 42.6 boards per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 25th with 45.0 rebounds allowed per game.
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