The Milwaukee Bucks (46-27) are favored by 4.5 points versus the Atlanta Hawks (34-39) on March 30, 2024 at State Farm Arena. It’s a matchup featuring two of the highest-scoring squads in the NBA — the Bucks are fourth (120.3 ppg) and the Hawks are fifth (119.2). The matchup’s point total is 223.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Saturday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Hawks (+4.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Bucks by 2.6 points, just 1.9 less than the 4.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Atlanta has a 27-46-0 record against the spread this year.
- The Hawks have an ATS record of 6-10 when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs this season.
- Milwaukee is 32-40-1 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Bucks have an ATS record of 18-25-1.
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Total: Over 223
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (15.5 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Milwaukee and its opponent have broken the 223-point mark 53 times this year.
- There have been 57 Atlanta’s games this season with more than 223 points scored.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to hit the over 36 out of 73 times this season.
- So far this season, 39 out of the Hawks’ 73 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Bucks (-185)
- Prediction: Bucks 121, Hawks 118
- Milwaukee has been the favorite in 61 games this season and won 43 (70.5%) of those contests.
- Atlanta has won in 11, or 33.3%, of the 33 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop: Over 33.5
- Giannis Antetokounmpo puts up 30.7 points, 11.5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 1.0 block.
- The 33.5 points prop total set for Antetokounmpo on Saturday is 2.8 more than his scoring average on the season (30.7).
- So far this season, Antetokounmpo is 32-for-74 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- On offense, the Hawks are the fifth-best team in the league (119.2 points per game). However on defense they are fourth-worst (120.5 points allowed per game).
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