The Phoenix Suns (43-30) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-22) on March 29, 2024 at Paycom Center. The Suns are favored, by 1.5 points, in a contest featuring a pair of the top players in the league, the Suns’ Kevin Durant and the Thunder’s Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The point total for the matchup is set at 228.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (+1.5) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Suns winning by 1.5, the model has the Thunder taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (9.2 points). Take the Thunder.
- Oklahoma City is 41-30-1 against the spread this year.
- When playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs this year, the Thunder have an ATS record of 10-5-1.
- So far this season, Phoenix has compiled a 30-41-2 record against the spread.
- The Suns have covered the spread 21 times this season (21-30-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 228
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 4.2 points lower than the model projection.
- A total of 41 times so far this season, Phoenix and its opponent have combined to score more than 228 points.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had over 228 points 44 times this season.
- So far this season, 32 out of the Suns’ 73 games have gone over the point total.
- In the Thunder’s 72 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 37 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (+102)
- Prediction: Thunder 120, Suns 112
- This season, Phoenix has been favored 53 times and won 35, or 66%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has been chosen as underdogs in 17 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (52.9%) in those games.
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Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- Durant puts up 27.6 points, 6.8 boards and 5.2 assists per contest, shooting 52.9% from the field and 42.2% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
- He has grabbed 6.8 rebounds per game, 0.3 more than his prop bet for Friday’s game (6.5).
- Bookmakers have listed a rebound total for him 69 times this season, and he has hit the over in 32 of those games.
- The Thunder are the fifth-worst squad in the league in rebounds per game (41.9) and 24th in rebounds conceded (44.8).
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