In a matchup featuring one of the struggling squads in the NBA, the Detroit Pistons (12-61) play the Washington Wizards (14-59) at Capital One Arena on March 29, 2024. The Pistons have lost eight in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 3.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 227.5 points.
If you are trying to make an informed wager on Friday’s game, find out the best bets available in this matchup, below (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Pistons (+3.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Wizards by 2.5 points, just 1.0 fewer than the 3.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Detroit is 36-36-1 against the spread this year.
- The Pistons have an ATS record of 31-29-1 when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs this season.
- So far this season, Washington has compiled a 33-39-1 record against the spread.
- The Wizards have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 227.5
- In this game, the model projects a total (234.0 points) marginally higher than the DraftKings over/under (227.5 points).
- In 47 games this year, Washington and its opponent have combined to score more than 227.5 points.
- There have been 38 Detroit’s games this season with more than 227.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 36 out of the Wizards’ 73 games have hit the over.
- Pistons games have gone over the point total 35 out of 73 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Wizards (-166)
- Prediction: Wizards 118, Pistons 116
- This season, Washington has been favored six times and won two of those games.
- Detroit has won in nine, or 13.6%, of the 66 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Deni Avdija Points Prop: Over 17.5
- Deni Avdija posts 14.2 points, 3.7 assists and 7.1 rebounds per game.
- The 17.5-point over/under for Avdija on Friday is 3.3 higher than his scoring average.
- He has hit the over on his points prop on 42 occasions this season (in 72 games with such a prop).
- In 2023-24, the Pistons are 25th in the league offensively (110.8 points scored per game) and fifth-worst defensively (120.0 points allowed).
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