The Sacramento Kings (42-30) are one-point favorites for their contest with the Dallas Mavericks (43-29) on March 29, 2024, when a pair of the biggest stars in the NBA — the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic — will be on display at Golden 1 Center. The matchup’s point total is set at 232.
Dig into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) in Friday’s game, before you place an informed wager on the contest.
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Spread: Kings (-1) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.5 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Sacramento is 36-35-1 against the spread this season.
- The Kings have an ATS record of 21-27-1 when playing as at least 1-point favorites this season.
- Dallas has gone 41-31-0 ATS this year.
- The Mavericks have been an underdog by 1 point or more 29 times this year, and covered the spread in 14 of those matchups.
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Total: Over 232
- The model projects a total 2.5 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Sacramento’s games have finished with more than 232 points 39 times so far this year.
- Dallas’ games have gone over 232 points on 42 occasions this season.
- A total of 33 out of the Kings’ 72 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 33 out of 72 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Kings (-118)
- Prediction: Kings 118, Mavericks 117
- This season, Sacramento has been favored 49 times and won 30, or 61.2%, of those games.
- Dallas has been victorious in 11, or 37.9%, of the 29 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Domantas Sabonis Rebounds Prop: Over 14.5
- Sabonis puts up 19.7 points, 13.7 boards and 8.3 assists per game, shooting 60.4% from the field (seventh in NBA).
- He has grabbed 13.7 rebounds per game, 0.8 less than his prop bet for Friday’s game (14.5).
- Sportsbooks have listed a rebound total for him 73 times this season, and he has hit the over in 34 of those games.
- With 42.6 rebounds per game and 45.0 rebounds allowed, the Mavericks are 21st and 25th in the league, respectively.
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