The effective offense of the Milwaukee Bucks (46-26) will battle the strong defense of the New Orleans Pelicans (44-28) at Smoothie King Center on March 28, 2024. The Bucks are favorites, by 1.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 224.5 points.
If you are aiming to gain an edge on Thursday’s game, dig into the best bets available in this matchup, in the article below (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Pelicans (+1.5) to Cover
- While DraftKings has the Bucks winning by 1.5, the model has the Pelicans taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (6.8 points). Take the Pelicans.
- New Orleans has a 40-30-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread 15 times this season (15-7-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
- Milwaukee is 32-39-1 ATS this season.
- The Bucks have covered the spread 25 times this season (25-31-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 224.5
- The model predicts a total (231.9 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (224.5 points). Take the over.
- Milwaukee’s games have had more than 224.5 points scored on 50 occasions this year.
- New Orleans’ games have had over 224.5 points 42 times this year.
- In the Bucks’ 72 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
- A total of 31 Pelicans games this season have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (+105)
- Prediction: Pelicans 119, Bucks 113
- Milwaukee has been the favorite in 60 games this season and won 43 (71.7%) of those contests.
- New Orleans has been victorious in 14, or 51.9%, of the 27 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop: Under 29.5
- Giannis Antetokounmpo posts 30.6 points, 11.4 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 1.0 block.
- Thursday’s over/under for Antetokounmpo is 29.5 points. That is 1.1 fewer than his season average of 30.6.
- In 73 games this season with a points prop total, Antetokounmpo has gone over the total 31 times.
- At 115.7 points scored per game and 110.5 points conceded, the Pelicans are 13th in the league on offense and eighth on defense.
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