The Cleveland Cavaliers (44-28) battle the Charlotte Hornets (17-54) on March 27, 2024 at Spectrum Center. The Hornets are underdogs by a 10-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The matchup’s point total is set at 207.
Our computer predictions for Wednesday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Cavaliers (-10) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Cavaliers to walk away with the win, but the model spread (12.6) is 2.6 points further in their direction.
- Cleveland is 35-35-2 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 10-point favorites this season, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 3-6.
- So far this year, Charlotte has compiled a 26-44-1 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 10-point underdogs this season, the Hornets have an ATS record of 10-19.
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Total: Over 207
- The model predicts a total (222.5 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (207 points). Take the over.
- Cleveland’s games have had more than 207 points scored on 60 occasions this year.
- Charlotte’s games have finished with over 207 points scored 58 times this season.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Cavaliers’ 72 games have gone over the point total.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Hornets’ 71 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Cavaliers (-485)
- Prediction: Cavaliers 118, Hornets 105
- This season, Cleveland has won 33 out of the 47 games, or 70.2%, in which it has been favored.
- Charlotte has won in 14, or 21.2%, of the 66 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Jarrett Allen Rebounds Prop: Over 11.5
- Jarrett Allen puts up 16.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.1 blocks.
- He has averaged 0.8 fewer rebounds per game (10.7) than his prop bet total in Wednesday’s game (11.5).
- Sportsbooks have listed a rebound total for him 67 times this season, and he has hit the over in 30 of those games.
- In 2023-24, the Hornets are worst in the NBA in rebounds (40.7 per game) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (45.5).
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