The Los Angeles Lakers (40-32) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (24-48) at FedExForum, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 27, 2024. The Grizzlies are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 223.5 points.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Wednesday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Grizzlies (+4.5) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.1 points of each other.
- Memphis has a 34-37-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Grizzlies are 24-17-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.
- Los Angeles has gone 33-39-0 ATS this season.
- The Lakers have an ATS record of 11-11 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 223.5
- The model projects a total 3.6 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Los Angeles and its opponent have broken the 223.5-point mark 51 times this year.
- Memphis’ games have finished with over 223.5 points scored 26 times this year.
- In the Lakers’ 72 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 40 times.
- Grizzlies games have gone over the point total 34 out of 72 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Lakers (-185)
- Prediction: Lakers 116, Grizzlies 111
- Los Angeles has won 26, or 65%, of the 40 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (32.1%) in those games.
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Santi Aldama Points Prop: Over 10.5
- The Grizzlies are getting 10.9 points, 5.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Santi Aldama this year.
- The 10.9 points Aldama scores per game are 0.4 more than his over/under on Wednesday (10.5).
- Aldama has exceeded his points prop total 13 times this season out of 36 games with such a prop.
- The Lakers are averaging 117.8 points per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) this year, while ceding 117.7 points per contest (23rd-ranked).
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