The high-powered offense of the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-21) will face a tough task when they meet the strong defense of the Houston Rockets (36-35) on March 27, 2024 at Paycom Center. The Thunder are currently favored by 4.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 226.5 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Thunder (-4.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Thunder favored by 4.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (8.5 points). Put your money on the Thunder.
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 41-29-1 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have been favored by 4.5 points or more 34 times this season, and covered the spread in 21 of those matchups.
- Houston has gone 40-29-2 ATS this year.
- The Rockets have been an underdog by 4.5 points or more 27 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those games.
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Total: Over 226.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 3.4 points lower than the model projection.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had more than 226.5 points scored on 43 occasions this season.
- Houston’s games have gone over 226.5 points on 33 occasions this year.
- So far this season, 36 out of the Thunder’s 71 games have gone over the point total.
- Rockets games have gone over the point total 33 out of 71 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-192)
- Prediction: Thunder 119, Rockets 111
- Oklahoma City has entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 41, or 75.9%, of those games.
- Houston has been an underdog in 44 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (31.8%) in those contests.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Assists Prop: Under 5.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 30.4 points, 5.6 boards and 6.3 assists per game, shooting 54.0% from the field and 36.7% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per contest.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 6.3 assists per game this year, 0.8 more than his prop bet for Wednesday (5.5).
- Gilgeous-Alexander is 37-for-71 at dishing out more assists than his listed prop bet total this season.
Explore all available player props for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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