In a game featuring a pair of the biggest stars in the NBA, Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (51-21) will battle Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (42-30) on March 27, 2024 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are strongly favored, by seven points. The over/under for the matchup is set at 227.5.
Our computer predictions for Wednesday’s game may help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Nuggets (-7) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.1 points of each other.
- Denver’s ATS record is 33-37-2 this season.
- The Nuggets are 14-16-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
- Phoenix has a 29-41-2 record against the spread this year.
- The Suns have been an underdog by 7 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
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Total: Over 227.5
- DraftKings and the model are extremely close in their point total projections for this game, within 0.5 points of each other.
- Denver’s games have had more than 227.5 points scored on 28 occasions this year.
- There have been 41 Phoenix’s games this year with more than 227.5 points scored.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to hit the over 30 out of 72 times this season.
- In the Suns’ 72 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 32 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-270)
- Prediction: Nuggets 118, Suns 110
- Denver has entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 47, or 75.8%, of those games.
- Phoenix has been an underdog in 18 games this season and has come away with the win six times (33.3%) in those contests.
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Michael Porter Jr. Rebounds Prop: Under 6.5
- Michael Porter Jr. posts 16.9 points, 1.5 assists and 7.0 boards per game.
- His per-game rebounding average of 7.0 is 0.5 higher than his prop bet on Wednesday (6.5).
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in 37 of 69 games with a prop so far this season.
- In 2023-24, the Suns are eighth in the NBA in rebounds (44.3 per game) and third-best in rebounds allowed (41.3).
Check out all available player props for Michael Porter Jr. and other Nuggets players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Devin Booker Points Prop: Under 26.5
- The Suns are getting 27.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.9 assists per game from Devin Booker this year.
- The 26.5-point total set for Booker on Wednesday is 0.9 fewer points than his per-game scoring average.
- He has hit the over 24 times on a points prop this season (in 60 tries).
- So far this year, the Nuggets are scoring 114.8 points per game (14th-ranked in NBA) and surrendering 110.0 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Devin Booker and other Suns players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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