In a game featuring one of the struggling squads in the NBA, the Portland Trail Blazers (19-53) face the Atlanta Hawks (32-39) at State Farm Arena on March 27, 2024. The Trail Blazers have lost seven in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 10.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 217 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+10.5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Hawks taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (9.8 points). Lean towards taking the Trail Blazers.
- Portland is 34-37-1 ATS this year.
- The Trail Blazers have been an underdog by 10.5 points or more 25 times this year, and covered the spread in 14 of those games.
- So far this season, Atlanta has put together a 25-46-0 record against the spread.
- The Hawks have been favored by 10.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
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Total: Over 217
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (14.6 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Atlanta’s games have finished with more than 217 points 60 times so far this season.
- Portland’s games have gone over 217 points on 45 occasions this season.
- A total of 37 out of the Hawks’ 71 games this season have gone over the point total.
- In the Trail Blazers’ 72 chances this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Hawks (-550)
- Prediction: Hawks 121, Trail Blazers 111
- Atlanta has won 22, or 56.4%, of the 39 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Portland has won in 18, or 27.3%, of the 66 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Prop: Over 20.5
- Bogdan Bogdanovic averages 16.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- The 20.5-point over/under set for Bogdanovic on Wednesday is 4.0 higher than his scoring average on the season.
- This season, Bogdanovic has scored beyond the points prop number in 28 of 57 games with a set total.
- The Trail Blazers are the third-worst squad in the league in points scored (107.6 per game) and 17th in points allowed (115.8).
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Deandre Ayton Points Prop: Over 20.5
- The Trail Blazers are getting 15.8 points, 11.1 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Deandre Ayton this year.
- The 15.8 points Ayton has scored per game this season is 4.7 fewer than his prop bet over/under set for Wednesday (20.5).
- He has hit the over 23 times on a points prop this season (in 47 tries).
- Because of the Hawks’ defensive struggles this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 120.7 points allowed per game, they’ve been forced to lean on their offense, which ranks fifth-best in the league tallying 119.2 points per game.
Check out the prop bets available for Deandre Ayton and other Trail Blazers players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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