The Sacramento Kings (42-29) battle the Dallas Mavericks (42-29) on March 26, 2024 at Golden 1 Center. The Kings are favorites, by 2.5 points, in a contest featuring a pair of the top players in the NBA, the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis and the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic. The matchup has an over/under set at 232.5 points.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Kings (-2.5) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.1 points of each other.
- Sacramento has a 36-34-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Kings have covered the spread 16 times this season (16-22 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
- So far this year, Dallas has put together a 40-31-0 record against the spread.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread nine times this season (9-11 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 232.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 2.1 points lower than the model projection.
- Sacramento’s games have finished with more than 232.5 points 38 times so far this season.
- Dallas’ games have gone over 232.5 points on 42 occasions this season.
- A total of 33 out of the Kings’ 71 games this season have hit the over.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 33 out of 71 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Kings (-142)
- Prediction: Kings 119, Mavericks 116
- Sacramento has been the favorite in 48 games this season and won 30 (62.5%) of those contests.
- Dallas has come away with 10 wins in the 28 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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De’Aaron Fox Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- De’Aaron Fox averages 26.7 points, 4.5 boards and 5.7 assists per game, shooting 46.8% from the field and 36.2% from downtown with 2.8 made treys per game.
- He has grabbed 4.5 rebounds per game, equal to his prop bet for Tuesday.
- This will be his 66th game this season with a rebound prop and so far he has hit the over 31 times.
- The Mavericks are 22nd in the NBA in rebounds per game (42.5) and 25th in rebounds conceded (45.1).
Explore all available player props for De’Aaron Fox and other Kings players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Luka Doncic Rebounds Prop: Under 9.5
- Doncic is putting up 34.0 points, 9.0 rebounds and 9.9 assists per contest. He’s also draining 48.6% of his shots from the floor and 37.3% from beyond the arc, with 3.9 triples per contest (second in NBA).
- He has pulled down 9.0 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (9.5).
- He has gone over on rebounds in 31 of 65 games with that prop available so far this season.
- The Kings are averaging 43.7 rebounds per game (15th-ranked in NBA) this season, while allowing 42.4 rebounds per contest (ninth-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Luka Doncic and other Mavericks players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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