Warriors vs. Heat: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 26, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 25, 2024

The Golden State Warriors (36-34) visit the Miami Heat (39-32), with the matchup tipping off at 7:30 PM ET from FTX Arena on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. The Warriors are 5-point favorites in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 216.5 points.

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Warriors vs. Heat Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Warriors -5 216.5

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Injury Report as of March 26

Warriors: Trayce Jackson-Davis: Questionable (Knee)

Heat: Kevin Love: Questionable (Heel), Caleb Martin: Questionable (Ankle), Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Questionable (Knee/Ankle), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot), Duncan Robinson: Out (Back)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Heat (+5)
Total Pick Over (216.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Warriors vs. Heat Stat Rankings

Warriors Avg. (Rank) Heat Avg. (Rank)
118.3 (7th) Points Scored 109.6 (27th)
116.8 (19th) Points Allowed 108.9 (4th)
46.8 (1st) Rebounds 42.1 (25th)
12.5 (3rd) Off. Rebounds 9.4 (27th)
14.8 (2nd) 3pt Made 12.3 (18th)
29.1 (4th) Assists 25.6 (22nd)
13.7 (23rd) Turnovers 11.8 (5th)

Best Betting Site for Warriors vs. Heat

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Warriors Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Stephen Curry 64 26.8 4.5 4.9 0.8 0.3 4.9
Klay Thompson 67 17.3 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.4 3.4
Jonathan Kuminga 69 16.3 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.5 0.7
Andrew Wiggins 61 12.7 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.5 1.2
Brandin Podziemski 61 9.5 5.8 3.9 0.9 0.2 1.3

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Terry Rozier 30 23.2 3.9 6.6 1.1 0.4 2.8
Jimmy Butler 50 21.4 5.4 4.8 1.4 0.3 1
Bam Adebayo 60 19.7 10.7 3.9 1.1 1 0.1
Terry Rozier 24 15.5 4.5 5.1 0.9 0.3 1.5
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 64 12.3 4 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.9

Betting Trends

  • The Warriors have 36 wins in 70 games against the spread this year.
  • As 5-point favorites or more, Golden State is 11-12 against the spread.
  • Out of 70 Warriors games so far this year, 36 have hit the over.
  • Golden State’s games have finished with more than 216.5 points 57 times so far this season.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 216.5 points, and that’s 18.7 less than the average total in this season’s Warriors contests.
  • The Heat have 34 wins in 71 games against the spread this season.
  • Miami has an ATS record of 11-6 as a 5-point underdog or greater.
  • This year, 26 of the Heat’s 71 games have hit the over.
  • Miami’s games have had over 216.5 points 36 times this year.
  • This season, Heat games have resulted in an average scoring total of 218.4, which is 1.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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