The efficient offense of the Oklahoma City Thunder (49-21) will face a tough task when they meet the stalwart defense of the New Orleans Pelicans (44-27) on March 26, 2024 at Smoothie King Center. The Thunder are currently favored by one point. The matchup’s point total is set at 223.5.
Our computer predictions for Tuesday’s game can help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Pelicans (+1) to Cover
- The model leans slightly toward betting on the Pelicans in this one. The data favors them while DraftKings has the Thunder favored, but the difference between the two is only 2.7 points.
- New Orleans has a 40-29-2 record against the spread this year.
- The Pelicans have an ATS record of 16-9-1 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season.
- Oklahoma City has a 40-29-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have been favored by 1 point or more 53 times this season, and covered the spread in 30 of those matchups.
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Total: Over 223.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 6.2 points lower than the model projection.
- In 46 games this year, Oklahoma City and its opponent have combined to score more than 223.5 points.
- New Orleans’ games have finished with over 223.5 points scored 41 times this season.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 35 out of 70 times this season.
- So far this year, 30 out of the Pelicans’ 71 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-105)
- Prediction: Pelicans 116, Thunder 114
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 40 out of the 53 games, or 75.5%, in which it has been favored.
- New Orleans has been an underdog in 26 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (53.8%) in those contests.
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Chet Holmgren Points Prop: Under 15.5
- Chet Holmgren posts 17.0 points, 7.9 boards and 2.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 2.4 blocks (fourth in NBA).
- Tuesday’s over/under for Holmgren is 15.5. That’s 1.5 less than his season average.
- Holmgren has hit the points prop over at a 36-for-70 clip this season.
- The Pelicans are 13th in the NBA in points scored (115.7 per game) and eighth in points allowed (110.4).
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Jonas Valančiūnas Rebounds Prop: Over 8.5
- Jonas Valanciunas is averaging 12.5 points, 9.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He’s sinking 56.3% of his shots from the floor.
- He has grabbed 9.2 rebounds per game, 0.7 more than his prop bet for Tuesday’s game (8.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 32 of his 67 games with a prop this season.
- While the Thunder are in the bottom five in the NBA in rebounds per game with 41.8 (fourth-worst), they rank 24th in the league with 44.9 rebounds allowed per game.
Check out the prop bets available for Jonas Valančiūnas and other Pelicans players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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