The Golden State Warriors (36-34) take on the Miami Heat (39-32) as 3.5-point favorites on Tuesday, March 26, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET on NBCS. The matchup has an over/under of 218 points.
Our computer predictions below will help you decide what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Heat (+3.5) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Heat in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Warriors favored and the difference between the two is 4.1 points.
- So far this year, Miami has compiled a 34-35-2 record against the spread.
- The Heat are 12-11 ATS this season when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
- So far this season, Golden State has put together a 36-32-2 record against the spread.
- The Warriors have an ATS record of 14-16 when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 218
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (226.8 points) much higher than the DraftKings over/under (218 points). Bet on the over.
- Golden State and its opponent have broken the 218-point mark 57 times this season.
- Miami’s games have had over 218 points 35 times this season.
- The Warriors and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 36 out of 70 times this season.
- So far this season, 26 out of the Heat’s 71 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (+142)
- Prediction: Heat 114, Warriors 113
- This season, Golden State has won 29 out of the 45 games, or 64.4%, in which it has been favored.
- Miami has won in 11, or 34.4%, of the 32 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Stephen Curry Points Prop: Under 25.5
- Stephen Curry posts 26.8 points, 4.9 assists and 4.5 boards per game.
- Tuesday’s points prop bet for Curry is 25.5 points. That’s 1.3 fewer than his season average of 26.8.
- Curry is 29-for-68 at going over his points prop total this season.
- Offensively the Heat are the fourth-worst team in the NBA (109.6 points per game). However on defense they are fourth-best (108.9 points allowed per game).
See all available player props for Stephen Curry and other Warriors players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Bam Adebayo Points Prop: Over 19.5
- Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.7 points, 10.7 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest. He’s also draining 51.9% of his shots from the floor.
- The 19.5-point over/under for Adebayo on Tuesday is 0.2 lower than his season scoring average.
- Adebayo has gone over 27 times on a points prop this season (in 63 opportunities).
- The Warriors are scoring 118.3 points per game (seventh-ranked in NBA) this season, while ceding 116.8 points per contest (19th-ranked).
Check out the prop bets available for Bam Adebayo and other Heat players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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