In a matchup featuring two of the best offensive squads in the NBA, the Los Angeles Clippers (44-26) are 5.5-point favorites for their matchup with the Indiana Pacers (40-32) at Crypto.com Arena on March 25, 2024. The matchup has an over/under of 233.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can place on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pacers (+5.5) to Cover
- The model and DraftKings both have the Clippers taking home the win, but the model has them winning by slightly less (4.9 points). Lean towards taking the Pacers.
- Indiana is 38-31-3 ATS this year.
- The Pacers have an ATS record of 8-7-1 when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this year.
- Los Angeles’ ATS record is 34-36-0 this season.
- The Clippers are 17-17 ATS this season when playing as at least 5.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 233
- The model projects a total 3.5 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Los Angeles and its opponent have broken the 233-point mark 30 times this year.
- So far this season, 50 Indiana’s games have featured more than 233 points scored.
- Clippers games have gone over the point total 30 out of 70 times this season.
- The Pacers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 35 out of 72 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Clippers (-225)
- Prediction: Clippers 121, Pacers 116
- Los Angeles has won 41, or 73.2%, of the 56 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Indiana has been an underdog in 36 games this season and has come away with the win 19 times (52.8%) in those contests.
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Kawhi Leonard Points Prop: Over 24.5
- Kawhi Leonard averages 23.7 points, 3.6 assists and 6.0 rebounds per game.
- The 23.7 points Leonard has scored per game this season is 0.8 fewer than his prop total set for Monday (24.5).
- Leonard is 27-for-68 at hitting the over on his points prop total this season.
- The Pacers are the best team in the NBA in points scored (123.1 per game) but second-worst in points allowed (121.0).
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