The Denver Nuggets (50-21) face the Memphis Grizzlies (24-47) on March 25, 2024 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are favorites by 15 points as they enter the matchup winners of three in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The point total is 214 for the matchup.
Trying to gain an edge on Monday’s game? Find out the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Nuggets (-15) to Cover
- The model line and the DraftKings line are within 0.4 points of each other.
- So far this season, Denver has put together a 32-37-2 record against the spread.
- The Nuggets have been favored by 15 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games.
- Memphis has gone 34-36-1 ATS this season.
- The Grizzlies have not covered the spread when an underdog by 15 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
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Total: Over 214
- The model predicts a total (221.6 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (214 points). Take the over.
- Denver’s games have finished with more than 214 points 50 times so far this season.
- There have been 43 Memphis’ games this year with more than 214 points scored.
- So far this season, 29 out of the Nuggets’ 71 games have gone over the point total.
- So far this year, 33 out of the Grizzlies’ 71 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-1350)
- Prediction: Nuggets 119, Grizzlies 103
- Denver has won 46, or 75.4%, of the 61 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Memphis has come away with 18 wins in the 55 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop: Over 13.5
- Nikola Jokic posts 26.1 points, 12.3 boards and 9.0 assists per contest, shooting 58.1% from the field (10th in league) and 35.2% from beyond the arc with 1.0 made treys per contest.
- His per-game rebound average — 12.3 — is 1.2 less than his prop bet over/under for Monday’s game (13.5).
- Sportsbooks have listed a rebound total for him 71 times this season, and he has hit the over in 36 of those games.
- In 2023-24, the Grizzlies are 24th in the league in rebounds (42.3 per game) and second-worst in rebounds conceded (45.8).
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