In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in the NBA versus one that is struggling, the Houston Rockets (35-35), winners of eight in a row, and 9-1 in their past 10 games, face the Portland Trail Blazers (19-52), who’ve dropped six straight and are 2-8 in their past 10. The Rockets are favorites by 13.5 points for this contest at Toyota Center on March 25, 2024. The matchup has an over/under of 224 points.
Check out below for the best bets you can place on Monday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Rockets (-13.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.5 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Houston has a 39-29-2 record against the spread this season.
- Portland has a 34-36-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Trail Blazers are 7-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 13.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 224
- The model predicts a total 1.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- In 34 games this year, Houston and its opponent have combined to score more than 224 points.
- Portland’s games have had over 224 points 38 times this season.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Rockets’ 70 games have gone over the point total.
- A total of 36 Trail Blazers games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (-900)
- Prediction: Rockets 120, Trail Blazers 106
- Houston has won 21, or 80.8%, of the 26 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Portland has been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (27.7%) in those games.
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Jalen Green Points Prop: Over 26.5
- Jalen Green averages 19.5 points, 5.0 boards and 3.4 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocks.
- Monday’s points prop for Green is 26.5. That is 7.0 more than his season average.
- Green has hit the points prop over at a 32-for-71 clip this season.
- In 2023-24, the Trail Blazers are third-worst in the NBA on offense (107.8 points scored per game) and 17th defensively (115.9 points allowed).
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