The Dallas Mavericks (41-29) face the Utah Jazz (29-42) on March 25, 2024 at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Jazz are underdogs by a 7.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of three in a row with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 238 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Spread: Jazz (+7.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Mavericks by 3.4 points, a much smaller margin than the 7.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Jazz to cover.
- Utah is 37-34-0 ATS this season.
- The Jazz have an ATS record of 6-11 when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs this season.
- So far this season, Dallas has put together a 39-31-0 record against the spread.
- The Mavericks have been favored by 7.5 points or more 13 times this season, and covered the spread in eight of those contests.
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Total: Under 238
- The model projects a total 1.3 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Dallas and its opponent have broken the 238-point mark 33 times this season.
- Utah’s games have finished with over 238 points scored 32 times this season.
- Mavericks games have gone over the point total 33 out of 70 times this season.
- Jazz games have hit the over 38 out of 71 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-310)
- Prediction: Mavericks 120, Jazz 117
- Dallas has been the favorite in 41 games this season and won 30 (73.2%) of those contests.
- Utah has been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and has walked away with the win 16 times (30.2%) in those games.
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Luka Doncic Points Prop: Over 33.5
- Luka Doncic averages 34.1 points, 9.0 boards and 9.8 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the floor and 37.6% from downtown with 3.9 made 3-pointers per contest (second in NBA).
- Doncic’s 34.1 points per game average is 0.6 points more than Monday’s over/under.
- Doncic is 36-for-65 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
- The Jazz are 11th in the NBA in points scored (116.8 per game) and third-worst in points conceded (120.9).
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