Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 25, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 24, 2024

The Denver Nuggets (50-21) are 14.5-point favorites against the Memphis Grizzlies (24-47) on March 25, 2024 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are on a roll, having won three in a row while going 8-2 over their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is set at 214 points.

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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -14.5 214

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Injury Report as of March 25

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Nikola Jokic: Questionable (Back), Jamal Murray: Questionable (Ankle), Zeke Nnaji: Out (Adductor)

Grizzlies: Marcus Smart: Out (Finger), Luke Kennard: Out (Personal), Yuta Watanabe: Out (Personal), Yuta Watanabe: Out (Personal), Chimezie Metu: Doubtful (Trade Pending), Derrick Rose: Out (Low Back), Ziaire Williams: Out (Hip), Brandon Clarke: Doubtful (Achilles), Chimezie Metu: Doubtful (Trade Pending), Desmond Bane: Questionable (Back), Lamar Stevens: Questionable (Adductor), Lamar Stevens: Questionable (Adductor), Vince Williams Jr.: Questionable (Knee), Ja Morant: Out (Shoulder), Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Nuggets (-14.5)
Total Pick Over (214)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Grizzlies Avg. (Rank)
114.6 (14th) Points Scored 105.9 (30th)
110.1 (7th) Points Allowed 112.6 (10th)
44.2 (8th) Rebounds 42.3 (24th)
10.8 (12th) Off. Rebounds 10.4 (17th)
11.4 (28th) 3pt Made 13.4 (9th)
29.2 (3rd) Assists 24.8 (25th)
11.7 (5th) Turnovers 14.3 (26th)

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Nuggets Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Nikola Jokic 68 26.1 12.3 9 1.3 0.9 1
Jamal Murray 54 20.9 4.1 6.7 1 0.6 2.4
Michael Porter Jr. 70 17 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.8
Aaron Gordon 65 13.8 6.5 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 71 10 1.9 3.7 0.5 0.2 1.2

Grizzlies Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Desmond Bane 40 23.9 4.5 5.3 1 0.6 3.3
Jaren Jackson Jr. 61 22.6 5.5 2.3 1.1 1.6 1.8
Gregory Jackson 36 13.8 3.9 1 0.5 0.6 2.1
Lamar Stevens 12 11.3 4.9 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.6
Scotty Pippen Jr. 10 11.1 3.4 4.8 1.4 0.5 1.5

Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Nuggets are 32-37-2 this year.
  • Denver’s ATS record as 14.5-point favorites or more is 3-3.
  • Out of 71 Nuggets games so far this year, 29 have gone over the total.
  • Denver’s games have finished with more than 214 points 50 times so far this season.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 214 points, and that’s 10.7 less than the average total in this season’s Nuggets contests.
  • The Grizzlies have 34 wins in 71 games against the spread this year.
  • Memphis has one win ATS (1-2) as a 14.5-point underdog or more this season.
  • The Grizzlies have played 71 games this year, and 33 of them have gone over the total.
  • Memphis’ games have had over 214 points 43 times this year.
  • The average total for Grizzlies games is 218.5 points, which is 4.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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