The Boston Celtics (57-14) are strongly favored (11 points) over the Atlanta Hawks (31-39) on March 25, 2024 at State Farm Arena. It’s a contest pitting one of the top squads in the league defensively versus one of the top offensive squads. The Celtics are fifth in points allowed per game (109.4), and Atlanta is fifth in points scored (119.2). The matchup has an over/under set at 225 points.
Before you make an informed wager on the matchup, take a look at the best bets available for Monday’s game based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Celtics (-11) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Celtics favored by 11, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (12.2 points).
- So far this season, Boston has put together a 38-30-3 record against the spread.
- The Celtics have been favored by 11 points or more 22 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those contests.
- Atlanta is 24-46-0 ATS this season.
- The Hawks have won their only game this season when playing as at least 11-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 225
- The model predicts a total (235.2 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (225 points). Take the over.
- A total of 40 times so far this year, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 225 points.
- So far this year, 53 Atlanta’s games have featured more than 225 points scored.
- In the Celtics’ 71 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 35 times.
- In the Hawks’ 70 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 36 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-550)
- Prediction: Celtics 124, Hawks 111
- This season, Boston has been favored 69 times and won 56, or 81.2%, of those games.
- Atlanta has been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (29%) in those games.
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Jayson Tatum Points Prop: Over 26.5
- Jayson Tatum puts up 27.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest, shooting 47.3% from the floor and 38.0% from beyond the arc with 3.2 made 3-pointers per game (seventh in NBA).
- Tatum has racked up 27.1 points per game in the 2023-24 season, 0.6 points higher than Monday’s over/under.
- So far this season, Tatum is 31-for-70 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- Offensively, the Hawks are the fifth-best squad in the NBA (119.2 points per game). However on defense they are fourth-worst (120.7 points conceded per game).
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