In a contest featuring one of the struggling teams in the NBA, the San Antonio Spurs (15-56) play the Phoenix Suns (42-29) at AT&T Center on March 25, 2024. The Spurs have lost three in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 12 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 234 points.
Looking to gain an edge on Monday’s game? See the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) below.
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Spread: Spurs (+12) to Cover
- The model favors the Suns by 7.6 points, a much smaller margin than the 12-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Spurs to cover.
- So far this season, San Antonio has put together a 35-36-0 record against the spread.
- The Spurs have an ATS record of 5-3 when playing as at least 12-point underdogs this season.
- Phoenix is 29-40-2 ATS this season.
- The Suns have covered the spread twice when favored by 12 points or more this season (in five opportunities).
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Total: Under 234
- The model predicts a total 2.5 points lower than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- Phoenix’s games have finished with more than 234 points 30 times so far this year.
- San Antonio’s games have gone over 234 points on 33 occasions this season.
- A total of 32 out of the Suns’ 71 games this season have gone over the point total.
- The Spurs and their opponents have combined to hit the over 33 out of 71 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Suns (-700)
- Prediction: Suns 120, Spurs 112
- Phoenix has won 35, or 67.3%, of the 52 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- San Antonio has been victorious in 10, or 15.6%, of the 64 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Kevin Durant Rebounds Prop: Over 6.5
- Kevin Durant posts 27.5 points, 6.6 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocks.
- He has averaged 0.1 more rebounds per game (6.6) than his prop bet total in Monday’s game (6.5).
- He has recorded more rebounds than his listed total in 30 of his 67 games with a prop this season.
- The Spurs are 16th in the NBA in rebounds per game (43.7) and fourth-worst in rebounds conceded (45.4).
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Victor Wembanyama Rebounds Prop: Under 10.5
- On a per-game basis, Victor Wembanyama gets the Spurs 20.7 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 3.4 blocked shots (first in league).
- His rebounding average — 10.4 — is 0.1 lower than his over/under on Monday.
- This will be his 68th game with a rebound prop this season, and so far he’s hit the over on 39 occasions.
- The Suns are averaging 44.2 rebounds per game this year (eighth-ranked in NBA), and they’ve ceded only 41.3 rebounds per game (third-best).
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