The Los Angeles Lakers (38-32) take the court against the Indiana Pacers (40-31) as only 3-point favorites on Sunday, March 24, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET on NBA. The point total is set at 241.5 for the matchup.
Keep reading to find the best bets you can make on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pacers (+3) to Cover
- The model favors the Lakers by 1.1 points, just 1.9 fewer than the 3-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Indiana has a 38-30-3 record against the spread this season.
- The Pacers are 18-10-2 ATS this year when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- Los Angeles has a 31-39-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Lakers have been favored by 3 points or more 32 times this season, and covered the spread in 13 of those matchups.
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Total: Under 241.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (238.8 points) marginally lower than the DraftKings over/under (241.5 points).
- Los Angeles’ games have finished with more than 241.5 points 23 times so far this year.
- Indiana’s games have finished with over 241.5 points scored 36 times this year.
- The Lakers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 38 out of 70 times this season.
- Pacers games have hit the over 34 out of 71 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Lakers (-148)
- Prediction: Lakers 120, Pacers 119
- Los Angeles has won 25, or 64.1%, of the 39 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Indiana has come away with 19 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Anthony Davis Points Prop: Over 24.5
- Anthony Davis puts up 24.4 points, 3.7 assists and 12.4 rebounds per contest.
- The 24.5 point total set for Davis on Sunday is 0.1 more than his scoring average on the season (24.4).
- Davis is 26-for-68 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
- In 2023-24, the Pacers are best in the league offensively (122.8 points scored per game) but fourth-worst on defense (120.5 points allowed).
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