The Milwaukee Bucks (45-25) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (49-20) on March 24, 2024 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks are favorites, by 2.5 points, in a matchup featuring two of the highest-scoring teams in the NBA — the Bucks are fourth (120.6 ppg), and the Thunder are third (120.7). The matchup has a point total of 233.5.
If you are looking to make an informed wager on Sunday’s game, see the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (according to our computer predictions).
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Spread: Thunder (+2.5) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Thunder compared to the DraftKings line, a 4.3 point difference, and has them favored to win Sunday’s game outright. Put your money on the Thunder.
- So far this year, Oklahoma City has put together a 40-28-1 record against the spread.
- The Thunder have been an underdog by 2.5 points or more 10 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those games.
- So far this season, Milwaukee has put together a 31-38-1 record against the spread.
- The Bucks have an ATS record of 21-29-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 233.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 2.2 points lower than the model projection.
- Milwaukee’s games have finished with more than 233.5 points 42 times so far this season.
- Oklahoma City’s games have gone over 233.5 points on 35 occasions this year.
- The Bucks and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 35 out of 70 times this season.
- In the Thunder’s 69 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 35 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (+114)
- Prediction: Thunder 119, Bucks 117
- Milwaukee has entered the game as favorites 58 times this season and won 42, or 72.4%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has been an underdog in 16 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (56.2%) in those contests.
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Brook Lopez Rebounds Prop: Over 5.5
- Brook Lopez posts 12.4 points, 5.3 boards and 1.7 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 2.5 blocks (second in league).
- He has pulled down 5.3 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Sunday’s game (5.5).
- He has gone over on rebounds in 31 of 70 games with that prop available so far this season.
- On the glass, the Thunder are fourth-worst in the NBA in rebounds (41.8 per game). They are 24th in rebounds allowed (44.7 per game).
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop: Over 31.5
- On a per-game basis, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gives the Thunder 30.8 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.4 assists. He also averages 2.1 steals (first in NBA) and 0.9 blocked shots.
- The 31.5-point over/under for Gilgeous-Alexander on Sunday is 0.7 higher than his scoring average.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has hit the over on his points prop on 34 occasions this season (in 69 games with such a prop).
- The Bucks have a top-five offense this season, ranking fourth-best in the league with 120.6 points per game. At the other end, they rank 22nd with 117.2 points allowed per contest.
Check out the prop bets available for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and other Thunder players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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