The Denver Nuggets (49-21) are big favorites, by 10 points, over the Portland Trail Blazers (19-51) on March 23, 2024 at Moda Center. It’s a matchup featuring two of the top teams in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer — the Nuggets are second (11.2 triples allowed per game) and the Trail Blazers are fifth (11.7). The matchup’s over/under is set at 209.5.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Nuggets (-10) to Cover
- The model projects the Nuggets to win, just as DraftKings does, but the model favors them by a small margin more (12.5 to 10).
- Denver has a 32-36-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Nuggets have an ATS record of 6-7-1 when playing as at least 10-point favorites this season.
- Portland’s ATS record is 33-36-1 this year.
- The Trail Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS this year when playing as at least 10-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 209.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (14.7 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- A total of 59 times so far this year, Denver and its opponent have combined for more than 209.5 points.
- Portland’s games have gone over 209.5 points on 54 occasions this season.
- So far this season, 28 out of the Nuggets’ 70 games have hit the over.
- So far this year, 35 out of the Trail Blazers’ 70 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-485)
- Prediction: Nuggets 118, Trail Blazers 106
- This season, Denver has won 45 out of the 60 games, or 75%, in which it has been favored.
- Portland has been victorious in 18, or 28.1%, of the 64 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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