The Miami Heat (38-31) take the court against the New Orleans Pelicans (42-27) as 3-point favorites on Friday, March 22, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET on NBA. The matchup has a 208 point total.
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Heat vs. Pelicans Betting Odds
| Favorite | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Heat | -3 | 208 |
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Injury Report as of March 22
Heat: Tyler Herro: Out (Foot), Kevin Love: Out (Heel), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Duncan Robinson: Out (Back), Bam Adebayo: Questionable (Back)
Pelicans: Dyson Daniels: Out (Knee)
Computer Picks
| Spread Pick | Pelicans (+3) |
|---|---|
| Total Pick | Over (208) |
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.
Heat vs. Pelicans Stat Rankings
| Heat Avg. (Rank) | Pelicans Avg. (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| 109.7 (27th) | Points Scored | 115.8 (13th) |
| 109.2 (4th) | Points Allowed | 110.9 (8th) |
| 42.2 (24th) | Rebounds | 44.4 (7th) |
| 9.4 (26th) | Off. Rebounds | 10.7 (12th) |
| 12.2 (18th) | 3pt Made | 12.2 (18th) |
| 25.6 (21st) | Assists | 27.2 (11th) |
| 11.9 (6th) | Turnovers | 12.6 (15th) |
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Heat Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier | 30 | 23.2 | 3.9 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Jimmy Butler | 48 | 21.6 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 58 | 19.9 | 10.6 | 4 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 |
| Terry Rozier | 22 | 15.7 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 63 | 12.4 | 4 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
Pelicans Key Players
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 58 | 22.7 | 5.8 | 5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Brandon Ingram | 63 | 20.9 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| CJ McCollum | 53 | 18.3 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Trey Murphy III | 44 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.9 |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 69 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.5 |
Betting Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread 33 times in 69 games.
- Miami has an ATS record of 10-15-1 as 3-point favorites or greater.
- There have been 25 Heat games (out of 69) that went over the total this year.
- In 50 games this year, Miami and its opponent have combined for more than 208 points.
- Heat games have had an average of 218.9 points this season, 10.9 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- The Pelicans’ record against the spread is 39-28-2.
- New Orleans has an ATS record of 11-6-1 as a 3-point underdog or more.
- Out of 69 Pelicans games so far this season, 30 have gone over the total.
- So far this year, 57 New Orleans’ games have featured more than 208 points scored.
- The average total for Pelicans games is 226.7 points, which is 18.7 more than this game’s over/under.
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