The Los Angeles Clippers (43-25) battle the Portland Trail Blazers (19-50) on March 22, 2024 at Moda Center. The Trail Blazers are underdogs by a 14-point margin as they enter the matchup with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The over/under in the matchup is 216.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Trail Blazers (+14) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (10.9 points) is considerably less than the 14-point edge DraftKings gives to the Clippers, though the data still has them as the favorite. Put your money on the Trail Blazers to cover.
- So far this year, Portland has compiled a 32-36-1 record against the spread.
- When playing as at least 14-point underdogs this season, the Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 5-1.
- Los Angeles is 34-34-0 against the spread this season.
- The Clippers have been favored by 14 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
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Total: Over 216
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is more than two possessions lower (10.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Los Angeles and its opponent have broken the 216-point mark 51 times this year.
- So far this season, 46 Portland’s games have featured more than 216 points scored.
- The Clippers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 28 out of 68 times this season.
- The Trail Blazers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 34 out of 69 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Clippers (-1200)
- Prediction: Clippers 119, Trail Blazers 108
- Los Angeles has won 40, or 74.1%, of the 54 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Portland has been chosen as underdogs in 63 games this year and has walked away with the win 18 times (28.6%) in those games.
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James Harden Points Prop: Over 15.5
- James Harden puts up 17.3 points, 5.1 rebounds and 8.4 assists per game, shooting 44.2% from the field and 40.7% from downtown with 2.8 made 3-pointers per game.
- The 15.5-point total set for Harden on Friday is 1.8 less than his season scoring average.
- Harden has hit the points prop over at a 28-for-62 clip this season.
- The Trail Blazers are the third-worst team in the NBA in points scored (107.6 per game) and 17th in points allowed (115.8).
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