The Miami Heat (38-31) host the New Orleans Pelicans (42-27) at FTX Arena, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, March 22, 2024. The Pelicans are 3-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s point total is set at 208.
Trying to gain an edge on Friday’s game? See the best bets available in this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the article below.
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Spread: Pelicans (+3) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Pelicans in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Heat favored and the difference between the two is 5.2 points.
- So far this year, New Orleans has compiled a 39-28-2 record against the spread.
- The Pelicans are 11-6-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- Miami’s ATS record is 33-34-2 this season.
- The Heat have an ATS record of 10-15-1 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 208
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (222.8 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (208 points). Bet on the over.
- Miami’s games have finished with more than 208 points 50 times so far this year.
- New Orleans’ games have finished with over 208 points scored 57 times this year.
- So far this season, 25 out of the Heat’s 69 games have gone over the point total.
- Pelicans games have gone over the point total 30 out of 69 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (+124)
- Prediction: Pelicans 113, Heat 110
- This season, Miami has been favored 37 times and won 27, or 73%, of those games.
- New Orleans has been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and has walked away with the win 13 times (52%) in those games.
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop: Under 10.5
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 12.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- The 12.4 points Jaquez Jr. scores per game are 1.9 more than his over/under on Friday.
- He has hit the over on his points prop on 18 occasions this season (in 43 games with such a prop).
- The Pelicans score 115.8 points per game and give up 110.9, making them 13th in the league offensively and eighth on defense.
Explore all available player props for Jaime Jaquez Jr. and other Heat players in this matchup and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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