The Dallas Mavericks (40-29) are big favorites, by 14 points, over the Utah Jazz (29-40) on March 21, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The Jazz are sputtering right now, having lost three in a row and going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup’s point total is 237.5.
Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Thursday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Jazz (+14) to Cover
- The model favors the Mavericks by 8.5 points, a much smaller margin than the 14-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Jazz to cover.
- So far this year, Utah has compiled a 37-32-0 record against the spread.
- The Jazz have covered the spread once when an underdog by 14 points or more this year (in two opportunities).
- Dallas’ ATS record is 38-31-0 this season.
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Total: Under 237.5
- The model’s predicted total (236.9 points) and the DraftKings set total (237.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- A total of 33 times so far this year, Dallas and its opponent have combined to score more than 237.5 points.
- There have been 31 Utah’s games this year with more than 237.5 points scored.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to hit the over 33 out of 69 times this season.
- So far this season, 37 out of the Jazz’s 69 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-950)
- Prediction: Mavericks 123, Jazz 114
- Dallas has won 29, or 72.5%, of the 40 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Utah has won in 16, or 31.4%, of the 51 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Luka Doncic Points Prop: Over 33.5
- Luka Doncic puts up 34.1 points, 9.0 boards and 9.8 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the field and 37.6% from beyond the arc with 3.9 made 3-pointers per game (second in NBA).
- Thursday’s over/under for Doncic is 33.5 points. That’s 0.6 fewer than his season average of 34.1.
- Doncic has gone up against a points prop bet in 64 games this season, and he’s hit the over 35 times.
- In 2023-24, the Jazz are 10th in the NBA offensively (117.0 points scored per game) and fourth-worst on defense (120.6 points allowed).
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