The Denver Nuggets (48-21) are favored by 8.5 points over the New York Knicks (41-27) on March 21, 2024 at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are flying, going 8-2 in their past 10 games. The matchup’s point total is set at 208.5.
Dive into the best bets available (based on our computer predictions) for Thursday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Knicks (+8.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Nuggets by 5.0 points, a much smaller margin than the 8.5-point spread set by DraftKings. Take the Knicks to cover.
- New York’s ATS record is 35-30-3 this season.
- The Knicks have not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs.
- So far this season, Denver has compiled a 31-36-2 record against the spread.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread 10 times this season (10-11-1 ATS) when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
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Total: Over 208.5
- The model projects a total (222.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (208.5 points). Take the over.
- Denver and its opponent have broken the 208.5-point mark 58 times this year.
- New York’s games have had over 208.5 points 47 times this season.
- In the Nuggets’ 69 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 27 times.
- A total of 25 Knicks games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Nuggets (-380)
- Prediction: Nuggets 114, Knicks 109
- This season, Denver has been favored 59 times and won 44, or 74.6%, of those games.
- New York has been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (40%) in those games.
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Jamal Murray Points Prop: Under 20.5
- Jamal Murray posts 20.9 points, 6.7 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game.
- Thursday’s over/under for Murray is 20.5 points, 0.4 fewer than his season average.
- He has exceeded his points prop on 22 occasions this season (in 56 games with such a prop).
- Offensively, the Knicks are the 22nd-ranked team in the league (112.0 points per game). Defensively, they are second-best (107.9 points allowed per game).
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Donte DiVincenzo Points Prop: Under 15.5
- Donte DiVincenzo is putting up 14.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is making 43.6% of his shots from the floor and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 3.2 triples per game (eighth in NBA).
- DiVincenzo is scoring 14.3 points per game this season, 1.2 less than his over/under on Thursday.
- DiVincenzo has had 57 chances to hit the over on a point prop this season and came through 23 times.
- With 114.7 points per game on offense, the Nuggets are 14th in the NBA. At the other end, they cede 110.2 points per contest, which ranks seventh in the league.
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