The Boston Celtics (54-14) face the Milwaukee Bucks (44-24) on March 20, 2024 at TD Garden. The Celtics are big favorites, by 10.5 points, in a matchup featuring one of the
best defensive squads in the league against one of the highest-scoring squads. The Celtics are fourth in points allowed per contest (109.3), while the Bucks are third in points scored (120.7). The over/under for the matchup is set at 225.5.
If you are aiming to gain an edge on Wednesday’s game, dig into the best bets available in this matchup, in this article (based on our computer predictions).
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Spread: Celtics (-10.5) to Cover
- Both DraftKings and the model expect the Celtics to walk away with the victory, but the model spread (12.0) is 1.5 points further in their direction.
- So far this season, Boston has put together a 36-29-3 record against the spread.
- The Celtics are 14-9 ATS this season when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
- So far this year, Milwaukee has put together a 30-37-1 record against the spread.
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Total: Over 225.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (234.2 points) significantly higher than the DraftKings over/under (225.5 points). Bet on the over.
- A total of 37 times so far this season, Boston and its opponent have combined to score more than 225.5 points.
- So far this season, 48 Milwaukee’s games have featured more than 225.5 points scored.
- In the Celtics’ 68 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 32 times.
- Bucks games have gone over the point total 33 out of 68 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Celtics (-550)
- Prediction: Celtics 123, Bucks 111
- This season, Boston has won 53 out of the 66 games, or 80.3%, in which it has been favored.
- Milwaukee has been an underdog in 11 games this season and has come away with the win three times (27.3%) in those contests.
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Jayson Tatum Points Prop: Over 26.5
- Jayson Tatum posts 27.1 points, 4.9 assists and 8.3 rebounds per contest.
- Wednesday’s points prop bet for Tatum is 26.5 points. That is 0.6 fewer than his season average of 27.1.
- Tatum is 30-for-67 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
- Offensively, the Bucks are the third-best squad in the league (120.7 points per game). Defensively, they are 21st (117.3 points conceded per game).
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop: Under 29.5
- Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.8 points, 11.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists per contest. He’s also sinking 61.6% of his shots from the field (sixth in league).
- The 29.5-point over/under set for Antetokounmpo on Wednesday is 1.3 lower than his season scoring average of 30.8.
- Antetokounmpo has had a points prop in 69 games this season, and has hit the over 30 times.
- The Celtics have been thriving both offensively and defensively this year, ranking second-best in the NBA in points per game (121.0) and fourth-best in points allowed per game (109.3).
Check out the prop bets available for Giannis Antetokounmpo and other Bucks players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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