Pacers vs. Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 20, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 19, 2024

The Indiana Pacers (38-31) are favored by 11 points when they visit the Detroit Pistons (12-56) on March 20, 2024 at Little Caesars Arena. The contest pits one of the highest-scoring teams in the league versus one of the worst defensive squads, as the Pacers are first in points scored per game (122.8), while the Pistons are 26th in points conceded (120.1). The point total in this contest is set at 235.5.

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Pacers vs. Pistons Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Pacers -11 235.5

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Injury Report as of March 20

Pacers: Bennedict Mathurin: Out (Shoulder), Doug McDermott: Questionable (Calf), Doug McDermott: Questionable (Calf)

Pistons: Ausar Thompson: Out (Illness), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Quentin Grimes: Out (Knee), Quentin Grimes: Out (Knee), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Ryan Arcidiacono: Out (Trade Pending), Taj Gibson: Questionable (Hamstring), Taj Gibson: Questionable (Hamstring), Isaiah Stewart: Out (Hamstring), Simone Fontecchio: Questionable (Toe), Simone Fontecchio: Questionable (Toe)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Pistons (+11)
Total Pick Over (235.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Pacers vs. Pistons Stat Rankings

Pacers Avg. (Rank) Pistons Avg. (Rank)
122.8 (1st) Points Scored 111.7 (24th)
120.9 (28th) Points Allowed 120.1 (26th)
41.4 (28th) Rebounds 43.9 (12th)
10.1 (20th) Off. Rebounds 10.9 (11th)
13.1 (12th) 3pt Made 11.3 (29th)
30.5 (1st) Assists 26.2 (19th)
12.6 (15th) Turnovers 14.9 (29th)

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Pacers Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Pascal Siakam 39 22.2 6.3 4.8 0.8 0.3 1.2
Pascal Siakam 28 20.6 7.5 4.1 0.9 0.4 1
Tyrese Haliburton 56 20.4 3.9 11.3 1.1 0.7 2.8
Myles Turner 65 17.2 7 1.3 0.6 1.8 1.4
Aaron Nesmith 60 12.3 3.8 1.5 1 0.7 2

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Cade Cunningham 57 22.2 4.3 7.6 0.8 0.4 1.9
Simone Fontecchio 16 15.4 4.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 2.7
Jaden Ivey 64 15.3 3.5 3.8 0.7 0.6 1.5
Jalen Duren 53 13.9 11.9 2.5 0.5 0.8 0
Simone Fontecchio 50 8.9 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.4 1.8

Betting Trends

  • The Pacers are 36-30-3 against the spread this year.
  • Indiana has two wins ATS (2-1) as a 11-point favorite or greater this season.
  • The Pacers have played 69 games this year, and 34 of them have hit the over.
  • In 44 games this year, Indiana and its opponent have combined to score more than 235.5 points.
  • Pacers games average 243.8 total points this season, 8.3 points less than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Pistons’ record against the spread is 34-33-1.
  • Detroit is 14-10 as a 11-point underdog or more.
  • Out of 68 Pistons games so far this year, 33 have gone over the total.
  • Detroit’s games have gone over 235.5 points on 29 occasions this year.
  • Pistons games average 231.8 total points, 3.7 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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