The Indiana Pacers (38-31) are 11-point favorites over the Detroit Pistons (12-56) on March 20, 2024 at Little Caesars Arena. It’s a contest featuring one of the highest-scoring squads in the league (Pacers, first in points scored per game) versus one of the poorest defensively (Pistons, 26th in points conceded). The matchup has an over/under set at 235 points.
Check out below for the best bets you can make on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pistons (+11) to Cover
- The model favors the Pacers by 8.8 points, just 2.2 less than the 11-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Detroit’s ATS record is 34-33-1 this year.
- When playing as at least 11-point underdogs this year, the Pistons have an ATS record of 14-10.
- Indiana’s ATS record is 36-30-3 this season.
- The Pacers have covered the spread twice this season (2-1 ATS) when playing as at least 11-point favorites.
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Total: Over 235
- The model projects a total 2.7 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game.
- A total of 45 times so far this year, Indiana and its opponent have combined to score more than 235 points.
- Detroit’s games have gone over 235 points on 30 occasions this year.
- In the Pacers’ 69 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 34 times.
- So far this year, 33 out of the Pistons’ 68 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Pacers (-600)
- Prediction: Pacers 123, Pistons 114
- Indiana has been the favorite in 35 games this season and won 20 (57.1%) of those contests.
- Detroit has been an underdog in 61 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (14.8%) in those contests.
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Tyrese Haliburton Points Prop: Over 19.5
- Tyrese Haliburton averages 20.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 11.3 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.7 blocks.
- Haliburton’s 20.4 points per game average is 0.9 points higher than Wednesday’s over/under.
- Haliburton is 21-for-59 at going over his points prop total this season.
- Offensively the Pistons are the 24th-ranked team in the league (111.7 points per game). Defensively they are fifth-worst (120.1 points allowed per game).
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Cade Cunningham Points Prop: Over 23.5
- On a per-game basis, Cade Cunningham gets the Pistons 22.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 7.6 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
- The 23.5-point prop total for Cunningham on Wednesday is 1.3 higher than his scoring average, which is 22.2.
- Cunningham has gone over 27 times on a points prop this season (in 60 opportunities).
- The Pacers have had to count on their offense, which ranks best in the NBA (122.8 points per game), as they rank third-worst in the league defensively with only 120.9 points allowed per contest.
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