In a game featuring one of the sputtering squads in the NBA, the Utah Jazz (29-39) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (47-20) at Paycom Center on March 20, 2024. The Jazz have lost two in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 16 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 232.5 points.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Jazz (+16) to Cover
- The model favors the Thunder by 14.0 points, just 2.0 less than the 16-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Utah has a 36-32-0 record against the spread this year.
- Oklahoma City has a 39-27-1 record against the spread this season.
- The Thunder have won their only game this season when playing as at least 16-point favorites.
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Total: Over 232.5
- The model predicts a total 3.3 points higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup.
- Oklahoma City’s games have had more than 232.5 points scored on 36 occasions this season.
- Utah’s games have had over 232.5 points 38 times this season.
- In the Thunder’s 67 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 35 times.
- A total of 37 Jazz games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-1350)
- Prediction: Thunder 125, Jazz 111
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 38 out of the 51 games, or 74.5%, in which it has been favored.
- Utah has been victorious in 16, or 32%, of the 50 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Prop: Over 30.5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 30.9 points, 5.7 boards and 6.3 assists per game, shooting 54.4% from the floor and 37.3% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game.
- The 30.5-point total set for Gilgeous-Alexander on Wednesday is 0.4 fewer points than his per-game scoring average.
- So far this season, Gilgeous-Alexander is 33-for-67 at scoring more than the total set for his points prop.
- On offense the Jazz are the 10th-ranked team in the league (117.2 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (120.6 points allowed per game).
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