The Golden State Warriors (35-32) face the Memphis Grizzlies (23-46) as 11-point favorites on Wednesday, March 20, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup’s over/under is set at 219.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can place on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Warriors (-11) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Warriors favored by 11, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (11.9 points).
- Golden State’s ATS record is 35-30-2 this season.
- The Warriors have covered the spread once when favored by 11 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
- Memphis is 33-35-1 ATS this year.
- The Grizzlies have been an underdog by 11 points or more 11 times this season, and covered the spread in seven of those games.
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Total: Over 219
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (7.7 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- In 54 games this season, Golden State and its opponent have combined for more than 219 points.
- Memphis’ games have gone over 219 points on 36 occasions this season.
- In the Warriors’ 67 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 34 times.
- In the Grizzlies’ 69 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 32 times.
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Moneyline Winner: Warriors (-600)
- Prediction: Warriors 119, Grizzlies 107
- This season, Golden State has won 28 out of the 43 games, or 65.1%, in which it has been favored.
- Memphis has been chosen as underdogs in 53 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (32.1%) in those games.
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Klay Thompson Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Klay Thompson puts up 17.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocks.
- He has pulled down 3.4 boards per game, which is less than his prop bet in Wednesday’s game (3.5).
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by bookmakers 23 times this season in 68 games with that prop available.
- The Grizzlies are 25th in the league in rebounds per game (42.1) and second-worst in rebounds conceded (45.6).
Check out all available player props for Klay Thompson and other Warriors players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Santi Aldama Points Prop: Over 12.5
- Santi Aldama is averaging 10.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest. He is draining 43.3% of his shots from the floor and 34.2% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per game.
- The 12.5-point over/under set for Aldama on Wednesday is 1.8 higher than his season scoring average.
- Aldama has hit the points prop over at a 11-for-33 clip this season.
- With 118.3 points per game on offense, the Warriors rank seventh in the NBA. At the other end of the court, they cede 116.8 points per contest, which ranks 19th in the league.
Check out the prop bets available for Santi Aldama and other Grizzlies players in this game and sign up to place your bets with DraftKings Sportsbook.
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