Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 19, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 19, 2024

The Denver Nuggets (47-21) are favored by eight points as they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (47-21) on March 19, 2024 at Target Center. The matchup features two of the top squads in the NBA defending against the 3-pointer. The Nuggets give up just 11.2 triples per game (second in league), and the Timberwolves 11.3 (third). The over/under for the matchup is 213.5 points.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Nuggets -8 213.5

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Injury Report as of March 19

Nuggets: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee), Zeke Nnaji: Questionable (Back)

Timberwolves: Monte Morris: Questionable (Hamstring), Monte Morris: Questionable (Hamstring), Karl-Anthony Towns: Out (Knee), Jaylen Clark: Out (Achilles), Kyle Anderson: Questionable (Right Shoulder), Rudy Gobert: Out (Rib)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Timberwolves (+8)
Total Pick Over (213.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Stat Rankings

Nuggets Avg. (Rank) Timberwolves Avg. (Rank)
114.7 (15th) Points Scored 113.3 (19th)
110.2 (7th) Points Allowed 106.6 (1st)
44.0 (11th) Rebounds 44.1 (10th)
10.7 (13th) Off. Rebounds 9.5 (25th)
11.5 (28th) 3pt Made 12.5 (16th)
29.3 (3rd) Assists 26.4 (16th)
11.7 (4th) Turnovers 13.5 (21st)

Best Betting Site for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

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Nuggets Key Players

Nikola Jokic 66 25.9 12.2 9.1 1.3 0.9 1
Jamal Murray 52 20.9 4.1 6.6 0.9 0.6 2.4
Michael Porter Jr. 67 16.7 7 1.5 0.5 0.7 2.8
Aaron Gordon 62 13.8 6.4 3.3 0.8 0.6 0.5
Reggie Jackson 68 10 1.9 3.6 0.5 0.1 1.2

Timberwolves Key Players

Anthony Edwards 65 26.6 5.4 5.1 1.3 0.6 2.5
Naz Reid 68 12.9 5 1.2 0.7 0.9 2
Mike Conley 63 10.8 2.9 6 1 0.2 2.2
Jaden McDaniels 58 10.3 3 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.2
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 68 7.7 2.1 2.6 0.8 0.5 1.5

Betting Trends

  • The Nuggets’ record against the spread is 31-35-2.
  • As 8-point favorites or more, Denver is 12-12-1 against the spread.
  • The Nuggets have seen 26 of their 68 games hit the over.
  • Denver and its opponent have broken the 213.5-point mark 48 times this season.
  • The total for this game is 213.5, and that’s 11.4 points fewer than the average total in Nuggets games thus far this season.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 34-32-2 this year.
  • Minnesota has covered the spread every time (1-0) as a 8-point underdog or greater this year.
  • Out of 68 Timberwolves games so far this year, 33 have gone over the total.
  • Minnesota’s games have finished with over 213.5 points scored 49 times this year.
  • The average total for Timberwolves games is 219.9 points, 6.4 more than this game’s over/under.

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