The Dallas Mavericks (39-29) square off against the San Antonio Spurs (15-53) as 8.5-point favorites on Tuesday, March 19, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET on BSSW. The matchup has an over/under set at 234.5 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Tuesday’s game.
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Spread: Spurs (+8.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (6.4 points) is a little tighter than the 8.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Mavericks, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- San Antonio is 34-34-0 against the spread this season.
- The Spurs have been an underdog by 8.5 points or more 34 times this season, and covered the spread in 17 of those contests.
- Dallas has a 38-30-0 record against the spread this season.
- The Mavericks are 6-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
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Total: Under 234.5
- The model’s predicted total (234.2 points) and the DraftKings set total (234.5 points) are virtually the same for this contest.
- Dallas’ games have had more than 234.5 points scored on 40 occasions this year.
- There have been 31 San Antonio’s games this season with more than 234.5 points scored.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Mavericks’ 68 games have gone over the point total.
- Spurs games have gone over the point total 32 out of 68 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Mavericks (-355)
- Prediction: Mavericks 120, Spurs 114
- Dallas has been the favorite in 39 games this season and won 28 (71.8%) of those contests.
- San Antonio has been an underdog in 62 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (16.1%) in those contests.
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Kyrie Irving Rebounds Prop: Over 4.5
- Kyrie Irving averages 25.4 points, 5.3 assists and 5.1 rebounds per contest.
- He has averaged 5.1 rebounds per game, 0.6 higher than his prop bet on Tuesday.
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the listed total for him 23 times this season in his 52 games oddsmakers set a prop.
- On the boards, the Spurs are 16th in the NBA in rebounds (43.6 per game). They are fourth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.4 per game).
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Victor Wembanyama Rebounds Prop: Over 11.5
- Victor Wembanyama delivers 20.8 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game for the Spurs.
- His rebounding average — 10.4 — is 1.1 lower than his over/under on Tuesday.
- Oddsmakers have listed a rebound over/under for him 64 times this season, and he has gone over in 38 of those games.
- The Mavericks rank fifth-worst in the NBA with 45.1 rebounds allowed per contest. Meanwhile, they are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game (23rd-ranked in league).
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