The Philadelphia 76ers (37-30) host the Miami Heat (37-30) at Wells Fargo Center, beginning at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, March 18, 2024. The 76ers are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 208.5 points.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Monday’s game.
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Spread: 76ers (-1.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the 76ers favored by 1.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by slightly more (3.1 points).
- Philadelphia’s ATS record is 35-32-0 this season.
- The 76ers have been favored by 1.5 points or more 38 times this season, and covered the spread in 23 of those matchups.
- So far this year, Miami has put together a 32-33-2 record against the spread.
- The Heat have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more 29 times this season, and covered the spread in 15 of those contests.
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Total: Over 208.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (15.1 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Philadelphia’s games have finished with more than 208.5 points 56 times so far this season.
- Miami’s games have gone over 208.5 points on 49 occasions this season.
- 76ers games have hit the over 35 out of 67 times this season.
- In the Heat’s 67 chances this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 24 times.
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Moneyline Winner: 76ers (-125)
- Prediction: 76ers 113, Heat 110
- This season, Philadelphia has been favored 41 times and won 30, or 73.2%, of those games.
- Miami has been an underdog in 30 games this season and has come away with the win 10 times (33.3%) in those contests.
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Duncan Robinson Points Prop: Under 14.5
- Duncan Robinson is putting up 13.7 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. He is sinking 46.0% of his shots from the field and 40.6% from 3-point range, with 2.9 treys per game.
- Robinson is putting up 13.7 points per game this season, 0.8 less than his points prop on Monday.
- Robinson has exceeded his points prop total 28 times this season out of 44 games with such a prop.
- On offense, the 76ers are posting 115.1 points per game (14th-ranked in league). They are allowing 112.6 points per contest on defense (11th-ranked).
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