Heat vs. Pistons: NBA Betting Preview, Tips and Picks – March 17, 2024

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 16, 2024

The Miami Heat (36-30) visit the Detroit Pistons (12-54) at Little Caesars Arena, starting at 3:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 17, 2024. The Pistons are 6.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has a 214.5 point total.

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Heat vs. Pistons Betting Odds

Favorite Spread Total
Heat -6.5 214.5

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Injury Report as of March 17

Heat: Kevin Love: Out (Heel), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Questionable (Foot), Nikola Jovic: Out (Hamstring)

Pistons: Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Quentin Grimes: Out (Knee), Quentin Grimes: Out (Knee), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Danilo Gallinari: Out (Not With Team), Ryan Arcidiacono: Out (Trade Pending), Ausar Thompson: Out (Illness), Cade Cunningham: Probable (Injury Management)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Heat (-6.5)
Total Pick Over (214.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat vs. Pistons Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Pistons Avg. (Rank)
110.1 (27th) Points Scored 112.1 (22nd)
109.6 (4th) Points Allowed 120.3 (26th)
42.1 (24th) Rebounds 44 (12th)
9.4 (25th) Off. Rebounds 11 (10th)
12.2 (19th) 3pt Made 11.3 (29th)
25.7 (21st) Assists 26.3 (17th)
12 (6th) Turnovers 15 (30th)

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Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Terry Rozier 30 23.2 3.9 6.6 1.1 0.4 2.8
Jimmy Butler 47 21.4 5.5 4.8 1.4 0.4 1
Bam Adebayo 56 19.9 10.4 3.9 1.1 1 0.1
Terry Rozier 19 14.9 4.5 5.4 0.9 0.3 1.3
Duncan Robinson 61 13.4 2.5 3 0.7 0.2 2.9

Pistons Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Cade Cunningham 56 22.3 4.3 7.5 0.8 0.4 1.9
Simone Fontecchio 15 15.6 4.1 1.7 0.9 0.2 2.7
Jaden Ivey 62 15.3 3.5 3.8 0.8 0.6 1.5
Jalen Duren 51 14.1 12 2.6 0.5 0.8 0
Isaiah Stewart 44 11 6.7 1.6 0.4 0.8 1.5

Betting Trends

  • The Heat have beaten the spread 32 times in 66 games.
  • Miami is 6-8 as 6.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Heat have played 66 games this year, and 24 of them have gone over the total.
  • Miami’s games have had more than 214.5 points scored on 42 occasions this year.
  • Heat games average 219.7 total points per game this season, 5.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread 33 times in 66 games.
  • Detroit has an ATS record of 24-23-1 as a 6.5-point underdog or greater.
  • The Pistons have played 66 games this year, and 33 of them have gone over the total.
  • So far this year, 53 Detroit’s games have featured more than 214.5 points scored.
  • The average total points scored in Pistons games this year (214.5) is 17.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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