The Minnesota Timberwolves (45-21) visit the Utah Jazz (29-37) at Vivint Smart Home Arena, starting at 9:30 PM ET on Saturday, March 16, 2024. The Jazz are 8-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is 223.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you pick what are the best bets available for Saturday’s game.
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Spread: Jazz (+8) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.3 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Utah has gone 36-30-0 ATS this year.
- The Jazz have covered the spread five times this year (5-5 ATS) when playing as at least 8-point underdogs.
- Minnesota has a 32-32-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 9-11 when playing as at least 8-point favorites this season.
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Total: Over 223
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 6.2 points lower than the model projection.
- Minnesota’s games have finished with more than 223 points 30 times so far this season.
- Utah’s games have finished with over 223 points scored 53 times this season.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Timberwolves’ 66 games have hit the over.
- A total of 37 Jazz games this season have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Timberwolves (-360)
- Prediction: Timberwolves 118, Jazz 111
- Minnesota has won 36, or 73.5%, of the 49 games it has played as the favorite this season.
- Utah has won in 16, or 33.3%, of the 48 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Rudy Gobert Points Prop: Over 15.5
- Rudy Gobert posts 13.7 points, 12.9 boards and 1.2 assists per game, shooting 64.8% from the field (third in league).
- The 15.5-point over/under for Gobert on Saturday is 1.8 higher than his season scoring average (13.7).
- So far this season, Gobert is 32-for-65 at hitting the over on the total set for his points prop.
- On offense the Jazz are the ninth-ranked squad in the league (117.7 points per game). On defense they are fourth-worst (120.8 points conceded per game).
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Collin Sexton Points Prop: Under 22.5
- On a per-game basis, Collin Sexton gets the Jazz 18.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.7 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
- Sexton is averaging 18.2 points during the 2023-24 season, 4.3 lower than Saturday’s prop total.
- Sexton has gone over 35 times on a points prop this season (in 59 opportunities).
- The Timberwolves have been carried by their defense, as they rank best in the NBA by surrendering only 106.7 points per game. They rank 19th in the league in points scored (113.2 per contest).
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