The New Orleans Pelicans (40-26) host the Portland Trail Blazers (19-47) at Smoothie King Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 16, 2024. The Pelicans are 13-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 215.5.
Keep reading for the best bets you can make on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Pelicans (-13) to Cover
- The Pelicans are the bet in this game. They’re favored by 4.1 more points in the model than DraftKings (17.1 to 13).
- New Orleans’ ATS record is 37-27-2 this season.
- The Pelicans have been favored by 13 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
- Portland’s ATS record is 31-34-1 this season.
- The Trail Blazers are 8-3 ATS this season when playing as at least 13-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 215.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (9.7 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- A total of 51 times so far this season, New Orleans and its opponent have combined for more than 215.5 points.
- There have been 43 Portland’s games this season with more than 215.5 points scored.
- The Pelicans and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 28 out of 66 times this season.
- The Trail Blazers and their opponents have combined to hit the over 31 out of 66 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-1000)
- Prediction: Pelicans 121, Trail Blazers 104
- New Orleans has been the favorite in 41 games this season and won 27 (65.9%) of those contests.
- Portland has won in 18, or 30%, of the 60 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Brandon Ingram Points Prop: Over 21.5
- Brandon Ingram averages 21.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game, shooting 49.1% from the floor and 36.4% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game.
- Ingram has put up 21.2 points per game during the 2023-24 season, 0.3 points fewer than Saturday’s over/under.
- Ingram is 23-for-65 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
- Offensively, the Trail Blazers are the third-worst squad in the league (107.7 points per game). Defensively, they are 17th (115.7 points conceded per game).
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