The Oklahoma City Thunder (46-20) play the Memphis Grizzlies (23-44) as 10.5-point favorites on Saturday, March 16, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET on BSSE. The point total for the matchup is set at 218.5.
Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Thunder (-10.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this matchup is within 0.2 points of the model. Stay away from this one.
- Oklahoma City is 39-26-1 ATS this season.
- The Thunder have covered the spread eight times this season (8-5 ATS) when playing as at least 10.5-point favorites.
- Memphis’ ATS record is 31-35-1 this season.
- The Grizzlies are 7-5 ATS this season when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs.
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Total: Over 218.5
- The model predicts a total (225.9 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this game (218.5 points). Take the over.
- Oklahoma City’s games have finished with more than 218.5 points 46 times so far this season.
- There have been 34 Memphis’ games this season with more than 218.5 points scored.
- The Thunder and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 34 out of 66 times this season.
- Grizzlies games have gone over the point total 30 out of 67 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Thunder (-575)
- Prediction: Thunder 118, Grizzlies 108
- This season, Oklahoma City has won 37 out of the 50 games, or 74%, in which it has been favored.
- Memphis has come away with 17 wins in the 51 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
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Jalen Williams Rebounds Prop: Over 3.5
- Jalen Williams averages 19.2 points, 4.0 boards and 4.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- He averages 0.5 more rebounds than his over/under on Saturday (which is 3.5).
- He has collected more boards than the over/under set for him by oddsmakers 26 times this season in 59 games with that prop available.
- In 2023-24, the Grizzlies are 24th in the league in rebounds (42.1 per game) and fourth-worst in rebounds allowed (45.4).
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