The Miami Heat (35-30) visit the Detroit Pistons (12-53) at Little Caesars Arena, starting at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, March 15, 2024. The Pistons are 7.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 217.5 points.
Our computer predictions below will help you pick what are the best bets available for Friday’s game.
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Spread: Pistons (+7.5) to Cover
- The model favors the Heat by 6.3 points, just 1.2 less than the 7.5-point spread set by DraftKings.
- Detroit is 33-31-1 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs this year, the Pistons have an ATS record of 23-17-1.
- Miami is 31-32-2 against the spread this season.
- When playing as at least 7.5-point favorites this season, the Heat have an ATS record of 4-6.
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Total: Over 217.5
- The model predicts a total (226.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (217.5 points). Take the over.
- In 35 games this season, Miami and its opponent have combined for more than 217.5 points.
- Detroit’s games have had over 217.5 points 50 times this year.
- In the Heat’s 65 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 24 times.
- So far this season, 33 out of the Pistons’ 65 games with an over/under have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Heat (-310)
- Prediction: Heat 116, Pistons 110
- Miami has been the favorite in 35 games this season and won 25 (71.4%) of those contests.
- Detroit has been victorious in nine, or 15.5%, of the 58 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop: Over 10.5
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 12.7 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.
- Jaquez Jr.’s 12.7 points per game are 2.2 points more than Friday’s over/under.
- He has gone over 18 times on a points prop this season (in 39 opportunities).
- On offense the Pistons are the 21st-ranked team in the league (112.4 points per game). Defensively they are fifth-worst (120.5 points allowed per game).
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