The Atlanta Hawks (29-36) face the Utah Jazz (28-37) on March 15, 2024 at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Jazz are underdogs by a three-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of two in a row with a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under set at 224 points.
Our computer predictions for Friday’s game can help you make an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Spread: Jazz (+3) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Jazz compared to the DraftKings line, a 5.9 point difference, and has them favored to win Friday’s game outright. Put your money on the Jazz.
- So far this year, Utah has compiled a 35-30-0 record against the spread.
- The Jazz are 21-19 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
- Atlanta’s ATS record is 22-43-0 this season.
- The Hawks are 8-18 ATS this season when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
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Total: Over 224
- The model predicts a total (239.4 points) much higher than the one set by DraftKings for this matchup (224 points). Take the over.
- In 50 games this season, Atlanta and its opponent have combined to score more than 224 points.
- Utah’s games have gone over 224 points on 51 occasions this season.
- A total of 32 out of the Hawks’ 65 games this season have gone over the point total.
- A total of 36 Jazz games this year have gone over the point total.
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Moneyline Winner: Jazz (+120)
- Prediction: Jazz 121, Hawks 118
- Atlanta has been the favorite in 37 games this season and won 21 (56.8%) of those contests.
- Utah has been victorious in 15, or 31.9%, of the 47 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
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Dejounte Murray Points Prop: Over 26.5
- Dejounte Murray posts 22.1 points, 5.2 boards and 5.8 assists per contest, shooting 46.7% from the field and 36.4% from beyond the arc with 2.4 made 3-pointers per game.
- Friday’s points prop bet for Murray is 26.5 points. That is 4.4 more than his season average of 22.1.
- Murray has hit the over 31 times on a points prop this season (in 65 tries).
- In 2023-24, the Jazz are ninth in the league on offense (117.6 points scored per game) and fourth-worst defensively (120.7 points allowed).
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