The Houston Rockets (30-35) face the Washington Wizards (11-54) on March 14, 2024 at Toyota Center. The Wizards are underdogs by an 8.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of three in a row with a 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 227.5 points.
Check out below to dig into the best bets you can make on Thursday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
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Spread: Rockets (-8.5) to Cover
- The DraftKings line for this game has the Rockets favored by 8.5, while the model predicts they’ll win by considerably more (14.5 points). Put your money on the Rockets.
- So far this season, Houston has put together a 34-29-2 record against the spread.
- The Rockets have been favored by 8.5 points or more six times this season, and covered the spread in four of those games.
- So far this season, Washington has put together a 30-34-1 record against the spread.
- The Wizards have been an underdog by 8.5 points or more 35 times this year, and covered the spread in 17 of those contests.
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Total: Over 227.5
- The DraftKings point total for this matchup is just 4.1 points lower than the model projection.
- Houston’s games have had more than 227.5 points scored on 28 occasions this season.
- Washington’s games have gone over 227.5 points on 43 occasions this year.
- The Rockets and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 28 out of 65 times this season.
- Wizards games have gone over the point total 31 out of 65 times this year.
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Moneyline Winner: Rockets (-375)
- Prediction: Rockets 123, Wizards 109
- Houston has entered the game as favorites 22 times this season and won 17, or 77.3%, of those games.
- Washington has been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (16.7%) in those games.
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Jalen Green Points Prop: Over 23.5
- Jalen Green puts up 18.3 points, 3.4 assists and 4.8 rebounds per contest.
- Green’s 18.3-point scoring average is 5.2 less than Thursday’s prop total.
- Green has hit the points prop over at a 27-for-66 clip this season.
- On offense the Wizards are the 16th-ranked team in the NBA (114.2 points per game). On defense they are the worst (123.7 points allowed per game).
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Tyus Jones Assists Prop: Under 8.5
- On a per-game basis, Tyus Jones gives the Wizards 12.0 points, 2.7 rebounds and 7.3 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- Jones has averaged 7.3 assists per game this season, 1.2 less than his prop bet on Thursday (8.5).
- There have been 66 games this season with an assist total for Jones, and he hit the over 33 times.
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