The Los Angeles Lakers (36-30) are three-point favorites for their contest with the Sacramento Kings (37-27) on March 13, 2024, when a pair of the biggest stars in the league — the Lakers’ Anthony Davis and the Kings’ Domantas Sabonis — will be on display at Golden 1 Center. The point total is 238.5 in the matchup.
Our computer predictions in this article will help you decide what are the best bets available for Wednesday’s game.
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Spread: Kings (+3) to Cover
- The data strongly suggests betting on the Kings in this one. The model favors them while DraftKings has the Lakers favored and the difference between the two is 7.2 points.
- Sacramento has gone 32-31-1 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 3-point underdogs this year, the Kings have an ATS record of 8-5.
- Los Angeles is 30-36-0 against the spread this season.
- The Lakers have covered the spread 12 times this season (12-18 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
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Total: Under 238.5
- The DraftKings point total for this game is just 3.1 points highter than the model projection.
- Los Angeles and its opponent have broken the 238.5-point mark 29 times this season.
- So far this season, 31 Sacramento’s games have featured over 238.5 points scored.
- The Lakers and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 36 out of 66 times this season.
- The Kings and their opponents have combined to go over the point total 32 out of 64 times this season.
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Moneyline Winner: Kings (+124)
- Prediction: Kings 120, Lakers 116
- Los Angeles has been the favorite in 35 games this season and won 23 (65.7%) of those contests.
- Sacramento has been chosen as underdogs in 21 games this year and has walked away with the win 10 times (47.6%) in those games.
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Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop: Under 13.5
- Davis averages 24.8 points, 3.6 assists and 12.5 rebounds per contest.
- His per-game rebound average — 12.5 — is 1.0 fewer than his prop bet over/under for Wednesday’s game (13.5).
- He’s grabbed more rebounds than the total set for him by sportsbooks 27 times this season in his 64 games with a prop.
- In 2023-24, the Kings are 17th in the league in rebounds (43.5 per game) and eighth in rebounds allowed (42.2).
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