The Charlotte Hornets (16-49) battle the Memphis Grizzlies (23-43) on March 13, 2024 at FedExForum. The Hornets are favored by 2.5 points as they look to stop a losing trend. They’re 2-8 in their last 10 games. The over/under in the matchup is set at 203.
Dig into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) for Wednesday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
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Spread: Grizzlies (+2.5) to Cover
- The model line is much more favorable to the Grizzlies compared to the DraftKings line, a 11.2 point difference, and has them favored to win Wednesday’s game outright. Put your money on the Grizzlies.
- Memphis has a 31-34-1 record against the spread this year.
- The Grizzlies are 23-19-1 ATS this season when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
- Charlotte’s ATS record is 25-39-1 this season.
- The Hornets have not covered the spread when favored by 2.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
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Total: Over 203
- The DraftKings point total for this game is more than two possessions lower (18.2 points) than the model projection. Put your money on the over.
- Charlotte’s games have finished with more than 203 points 58 times so far this season.
- There have been 53 Memphis’ games this season with more than 203 points scored.
- In the Hornets’ 65 games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 30 times.
- So far this season, 29 out of the Grizzlies’ 66 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Grizzlies (+120)
- Prediction: Grizzlies 115, Hornets 106
- Charlotte has been the favorite in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.
- Memphis has won in 17, or 34%, of the 50 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Nick Richards Rebounds Prop: Over 9.5
- Nick Richards averages 10.0 points, 0.8 assists and 8.2 boards per game.
- He averages 1.3 fewer rebounds than his over/under on Wednesday (which is 9.5).
- He has gone over on rebounds in 22 of 53 games with that prop available so far this season.
- The Grizzlies are 25th in the league in rebounds per game (42.0) and second-worst in rebounds conceded (45.6).
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Luke Kennard Rebounds Prop: Over 2.5
- Luke Kennard is averaging 10.9 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest. He is sinking 45.3% of his shots from the floor and 45.3% from beyond the arc (second in league), with 2.7 triples per contest.
- He averages 0.3 more rebounds than his prop bet Wednesday of 2.5.
- He’s finished over his set total for rebounds in six of 22 games with a prop so far this season.
- It’s been a tough stretch for the Hornets in terms of rebounding, as they are averaging just 41.0 rebounds per game (second-worst in NBA) and allowing 45.4 rebounds per contest (fifth-worst).
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