In a matchup featuring two of the best shooters in the NBA, CJ McCollum and the New Orleans Pelicans (39-25) will battle Donovan Mitchell and the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-24) on March 13, 2024 at Smoothie King Center. McCollum drains 3.3 3-pointers per contest (fourth in league), and Mitchell makes 3.4 (third). The Pelicans are 5.5-point favorites for the contest. The point total in the matchup is set at 217.5.
Before you place an informed wager on the matchup, see the best bets available in Wednesday’s game according to our computer predictions.
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Spread: Cavaliers (+5.5) to Cover
- The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (4.8 points) is a little bit less than the 5.5-point edge DraftKings gives to the Pelicans, though the data still has them as the favorite.
- Cleveland is 32-31-2 ATS this season.
- When playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs this season, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 8-2.
- New Orleans has a 36-26-2 record against the spread this season.
- The Pelicans have been favored by 5.5 points or more 23 times this season, and covered the spread in 15 of those matchups.
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Total: Over 217.5
- In this matchup, the model projects a total (225.4 points) considerably higher than the DraftKings over/under (217.5 points). Bet on the over.
- New Orleans’ games have had more than 217.5 points scored on 48 occasions this season.
- There have been 39 Cleveland’s games this year with more than 217.5 points scored.
- Pelicans games have gone over the point total 28 out of 64 times this season.
- So far this season, 29 out of the Cavaliers’ 65 games with an over/under have hit the over.
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Moneyline Winner: Pelicans (-225)
- Prediction: Pelicans 115, Cavaliers 110
- New Orleans has entered the game as favorites 39 times this season and won 26, or 66.7%, of those games.
- Cleveland has won in nine, or 42.9%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
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Brandon Ingram Points Prop: Under 19.5
- Brandon Ingram averages 21.4 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
- The 19.5 points prop total set for Ingram on Wednesday is 1.9 fewer points than his season scoring average (21.4).
- Ingram has hit the over 22 times on a points prop this season (in 63 tries).
- The Cavaliers are 18th in the NBA in points scored (113.7 per game) and fifth-best in points allowed (109.7).
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